Backup diff of study/GneitingT_MWR_2005 (No. 7)

• List of Backups
• View the diff current.
• View the source.
• View the backup.
• Go to study/GneitingT_MWR_2005.
  • 1 (2007-06-16 (Sat) 22:06:32)
  • 2 (2010-03-11 (Thu) 23:55:34)
  • 3 (2010-03-17 (Wed) 17:22:03)
  • 4 (2010-03-17 (Wed) 22:44:43)
  • 5 (2010-03-19 (Fri) 11:43:55)
  • 6 (2010-03-19 (Fri) 15:00:51)
  • 7 (2010-03-20 (Sat) 03:22:07)
  • 8 (2010-03-20 (Sat) 19:08:37)
  • 9 (2010-03-21 (Sun) 10:47:28)
  • 10 (2010-03-22 (Mon) 02:45:20)
  • 11 (2010-03-25 (Thu) 04:28:24)
  • 12 (2010-03-26 (Fri) 02:15:58)
  • 13 (2010-03-27 (Sat) 00:16:24)
  • 14 (2010-03-28 (Sun) 01:46:47)
  • 15 (2010-03-29 (Mon) 02:51:02)
  • 16 (2010-03-30 (Tue) 05:12:20)
  • 17 (2010-04-10 (Sat) 07:51:49)
  • 18 (2010-04-11 (Sun) 02:20:46)
  • 19 (2010-04-11 (Sun) 11:18:22)
  • 20 (2010-04-18 (Sun) 17:54:49)
  • 21 (2010-05-17 (Mon) 17:11:45)
  • 22 (2010-05-19 (Wed) 13:36:20)
  • 23 (2010-05-21 (Fri) 09:40:32)
  • 24 (2010-05-23 (Sun) 11:50:00)
  • 25 (2010-07-21 (Wed) 18:57:34)
  • 26 (2010-07-21 (Wed) 20:37:27)

• The added line is THIS COLOR.
• The deleted line is THIS COLOR.

* GneitingT_MWR_2005 [#x737946e]
Gneiting, T., A.E. Raftery, A.H. Westveld III, and T. Goldman, Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation, Mon. Wea. Rev, 133, 1098-1118, 2005..

- Category: MOS
- Tool(s): Others
- Summary: E(ensemble)MOSを用いた、MOS精度の向上。  
- Read Date: 2006-08-01

** Messages [#y8e4e578]
5種類の境界条件でMM5を走らせ、Ensemble MOSを計算。その際、重回帰の係数が負になることを抑えたEMOS+も使用した。海面気圧と表面気温をCRPS（Continuous Ranked Probability Score）やMAE,RMSEで評価。

Ensembleすることにより、さらにEMOS+することによりScoreがあがるらしい。