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#author("2020-11-16T09:47:12+09:00","","")
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#author("2020-12-03T04:13:39+09:00","kei","kei")
* SokolZ_WF_2003 [#n13bc905]
Sokol, Z., MOS-based precipitation forecasts for river basins

- Category: MOS
- Tool(s): GCM, Others
- Summary: MOSを使った、流域平均降水量の改良。チェコ。絶対値ではあまり改良せず、確率雨量をPredictandとするとそこそこ改善する。
- Read Date: 2007-06-15

** Messages [#zc27dead]
ALADIN/LACEという領域モデル（？）を用いて降水量を予測、MOSによって修正。Predictorは10変数くらいを超えるとあまり変化しなくなる。

絶対量で補正する場合、むしろ改悪が多く、モデルとの差を予測したほうがマシ。また、0.1mmを超える雨に限定するとさらに良い。確率雨量を予測するとだいぶよくなる。


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